DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Court of Appeal News

    Prediction markets for Court of Appeal

    PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]

    Aug 27, 2:24 AMJan 1, 3:14 AM
    5516876

    OptionProbability

    A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026

    Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting

    At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026

    Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket

    Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026

    A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents

    A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)

    A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)

    Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)

    Cook is charged with any crime by the Justice Department before 2026

    Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)

    Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal

    A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing

    Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026

    Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026

    Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed

    Trump threatens to fire Powell "for cause" since he didn't remove Cook

    Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete

    Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026

    Cook resigns

    Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    63

    46

    25

    16

    16

    15

    11

    9

    7

    7

    7

    5

    5

    3

    1

    0

    Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

    Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    20%chance
    3814920

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    18124

    6187

    Will the GitHub Copilot Litigation Succeed?

    Dec 8, 2:52 AMDec 7, 5:00 AM
    10.08%chance
    12410434

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    4399

    1460

    Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?

    Sep 9, 7:51 AMSep 1, 10:59 PM
    40.92%chance
    1510159

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1202

    832

    Supreme Court rules Trump tariffs lawful?

    Aug 29, 10:55 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
    5.41%chance
    445014

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    418

    24

    Impeach the Judge who blocked DOGE from accessing U.S. Treasury records? How far will this go?

    Feb 9, 9:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    213255

    OptionProbability

    Initiation and Investigation: A member or committee of the House of Representatives begins impeachment proceedings. The House Judiciary Committee investigates the allegations of misconduct

    Charges: If the committee finds sufficient evidence, it acts as a prosecutor and brings charges against the judge.

    The U.S. Court of Appeals or the Supreme Court overturns Judge Engelmayer's ruling to block Executive cabinet and staffers from accessing U.S. Treasury records, and no impeachment proceedings are initiated by May 9, 2025.

    House Votes YES to Impeach: The entire House of Representatives votes on the impeachment. A simple majority is required to impeach the judge.

    Senate Trial and Removal: If impeached, the case is referred to the Senate for a trial. A two-thirds majority vote in the Senate is required to convict and remove the judge from office.

    100

    100

    38

    30

    1

    Will the Third Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

    Sep 8, 6:26 PMDec 31, 7:26 PM
    83.49%chance
    81968

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2249

    445

    Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

    May 14, 2:40 AMMar 2, 3:34 AM
    42.65%chance
    13339

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    120

    90

    Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

    Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM
    61.51%chance
    3281

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1264

    791

    Disney vs Midjourney lawsuit

    Jun 22, 12:18 PMJan 1, 11:53 AM
    6250

    OptionProbability

    Lawsuit over before 2029

    Lawsuit is settled out of court

    Midjourney implements content filters to prevent copyright infringement²

    Lawsuit over before 2028

    Midjorney pays Disney and/or Universal⁴

    Midjourney appeals the court's decision

    Midjourney continues operations without changes at the end³

    Lawsuit over before 2027

    Midjourney no longer provides image generation by the end of it¹

    Midjourney agrees to licensing terms with Disney and/or Universal

    69

    68

    55

    50

    48

    45

    45

    45

    37

    34

    Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption?

    Sep 9, 3:36 PMSep 8, 6:38 PM
    54%chance
    4104

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1083

    923

    Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

    Apr 6, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    20%chance
    8100

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    200

    50

Latest stories