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Prediction markets for DC
Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2028?
May 8, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.54%chance
134807
OptionVotes
5528
251
OptionProbability
64
13
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?
Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.35%chance
142301
OptionVotes
2794
358
If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.68%chance
241221
OptionVotes
1320
788
Will the next new USA state be one other than puerto rico or washington dc?
Feb 19, 3:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.47%chance
16735
OptionVotes
1046
370
Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032
May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
7.78%chance
10652
OptionVotes
1602
997
OptionVotes
1021
962
Will Daylight Computers Release a second generation of the DC-1 tablet before 2028?
May 24, 6:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
63.38%chance
7321
OptionVotes
1316
760
Do the Walk for Peace Monks arrive in Washington DC and appear in photos with Trump?
Jan 3, 8:58 PMDec 31, 8:57 PM
15.59%chance
7269
OptionVotes
233
43
OptionVotes
1013
978
OptionVotes
375
156
Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 21, 11:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000