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Prediction markets for Death Valley

Will Père David's Deer (Elaphurus davidianus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 13, 8:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.11%chance

4277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

697

410

Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?

Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.46%chance

899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

1119

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)

Jaron Brandon

Jeramy Young

Other

40

20

20

20

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