Des Moines News

Jun 19, 1:47 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

20.7%chance

91361

OptionVotes

YES

1957

511

Dec 4, 2:31 AMApr 12, 1:23 AM

80%chance

8907

OptionVotes

YES

516

102

Dec 19, 12:46 AMMay 3, 3:59 AM

10585

OptionProbability

Selzer Wins: Court grants Selzer's motion to dismiss or finds her not liable for any damages.

Parties Settle

Trump Wins: Court finds Selzer liable for any amount of damages.

Other

Dec 27, 1:11 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

6123

OptionProbability

CBS case, over 60 Minutes Harris interview

Trump defamation suit against NYT (filed September 2025)

Des Moines Register case, over Ann Selzer poll

Simon & Schuster case, over Bob Woodward book

100

Prediction markets for Des Moines