District One News
Prediction markets for District One
US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
39.13%chance
74647
OptionVotes
12472
8018
OptionVotes
1067
932
Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?
May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM
16.23%chance
232903
OptionVotes
2272
440
Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?
Feb 27, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65%chance
92184
OptionVotes
1127
698
If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?
Nov 23, 1:14 AMNov 29, 7:59 AM
10.89%chance
261512
OptionVotes
1845
830
Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling?
Apr 7, 4:49 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
19.98%chance
41500
OptionVotes
2001
500
Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky´s 4th District in 2026
Feb 25, 10:07 PMMay 19, 10:00 PM
13873
OptionProbability
68
32
Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?
Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM
16.1%chance
19829
OptionVotes
1212
937
What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?
Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
26.04%chance
12728
OptionProbability
1258
854
Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 8th Congressional District
Nov 17, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3288
OptionProbability
93
5
2
Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026
Feb 20, 9:47 PMNov 4, 1:00 AM
69.93%chance
6234
OptionVotes
152
66
Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?
Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.75%chance
2200
OptionVotes
1100
909