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Prediction markets for Doctores

Will some U.S. doctors be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Jan 4, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.34%chance

413139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2006

748

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care by 2025?

Apr 22, 4:24 AMDec 22, 7:59 AM

2.44%chance

322931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3471

836

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?

Apr 22, 4:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.36%chance

352117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

917

Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?

Dec 25, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.93%chance

492090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

629

Next Doctor Who showrunner

Jan 28, 8:37 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

41477

OptionProbability

Kate Herron

Steven Moffat

Pete McTighe

Toby Whithouse

Mark Gatiss

Chris Chibnall

Sharma Angel-Walfall

Phil Ford

Helen Raynor

Joseph Michael Straczynski

Other

65

28

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2025?

Jul 27, 9:44 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

6.97%chance

151198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1772

892

Will Disney retain the international distribution rights to Doctor Who for a third season?

May 18, 5:56 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

2.21%chance

71195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

664

15

Will AI replace doctors by 2050?

Dec 11, 3:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.01%chance

21817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

737

Will Doctor Doom be alive at the end of Avengers: Secret Wars?

May 14, 2:36 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

65.64%chance

9539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1382

724

Will the 16th Doctor Who be Black?

Mar 10, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.22%chance

8536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who?

Jun 1, 6:05 AMDec 31, 4:40 AM

46.69%chance

11436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

In mid 2027 will ai tools be able to accurately fill in new doctor onboarding forms?

Jun 4, 9:51 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

51.04%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

980

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