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Prediction markets for Donetsk Oblast

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

56.41%chance

775214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

1005

Will Russia control at least 90% of Donbass at the end of 2025?

Aug 17, 3:50 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

29.36%chance

264420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

31.8%chance

302354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

574

When will Russia capture Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk)?

Jul 20, 2:06 PMApr 1, 12:37 PM

191000

OptionProbability

By the end of March 2026

By the end of January 2026

By the end of September 2025

By the end of November 2025

98

95

0

0

When, if ever, will Russia control Konstantinovka?

Nov 13, 4:29 PMMay 31, 4:17 PM

3498

OptionProbability

By the end of May 2026

By the end of March 2026

By the end of January 2026

67

57

30

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