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Prediction markets for Donetsk Oblast

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

52.09%chance

835834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

913

Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?

Dec 31, 1:00 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM

5.69%chance

385797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3712

161

Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?

Jan 25, 9:53 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.59%chance

153737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2198

480

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

31.57%chance

312359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

579

Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?

Jan 10, 10:39 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

14.39%chance

122149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2440

410

Which regions will Ukraine claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?

Jan 10, 10:43 PMJul 1, 12:00 AM

4983

OptionProbability

Sumy Oblast

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Kherson Oblast

Donetsk Oblast

Luhansk Oblast

Crimea

Sevastopol

Starodubshchyna

Kuban

73

59

59

50

50

50

50

16

2

Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027?

Dec 31, 1:06 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

32.98%chance

11669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

666

Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?

Jan 10, 10:43 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

12480

OptionProbability

Crimea

Donetsk Oblast

Sevastopol

Lugansk Oblast

Kherson Oblast

Zaporozhye Oblast

Odessa Oblast

Sumy Oblast

75

73

73

67

53

53

50

47

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?

Jun 4, 11:32 PMNov 30, 9:59 PM

40.98%chance

3228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

Will Russia control Dobropillya by the end of June 2027?

Jun 3, 10:32 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

38.51%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

975

Will Ukraine control Slavyansk at the end of October 2027?

Jun 3, 10:40 PMOct 31, 9:59 PM

60.57%chance

5151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

990

Will Russia control Druzhkivka by the end of September 2027?

Jun 3, 10:36 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

47.61%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

953

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