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Prediction markets for Donetsk Oblast

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

69.01%chance

795438

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1368

796

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

31.8%chance

302354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

574

Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?

Jan 25, 9:53 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

79.84%chance

82214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

545

Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?

Dec 31, 1:00 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM

46%chance

222009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

751

Will Russia control Konstantinovka by the end of November 2026?

May 18, 9:14 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

50.4%chance

141219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

992

Which regions will Ukraine claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?

Jan 10, 10:43 PMJul 1, 12:00 AM

3916

OptionProbability

Sumy Oblast

Donetsk Oblast

Luhansk Oblast

Crimea

Sevastopol

Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Kherson Oblast

Starodubshchyna

Kuban

73

50

50

50

50

50

50

16

2

Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?

Jan 10, 10:39 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

7843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

817

Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?

Jan 10, 10:43 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

11150

OptionProbability

Crimea

Donetsk Oblast

Sevastopol

Lugansk Oblast

Kherson Oblast

Zaporozhye Oblast

Odessa Oblast

Sumy Oblast

62

60

60

50

50

50

50

47

Will Ukraine control Slavyansk at the end of October 2027?

Jun 3, 10:40 PMOct 31, 9:59 PM

58.54%chance

4101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

964

Will Russia control Dobropillya by the end of June 2027?

Jun 3, 10:32 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

39.6%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

993

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?

Jun 4, 11:32 PMNov 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Russia control Druzhkivka by the end of September 2027?

Jun 3, 10:36 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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