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Prediction markets for Donetsk
OptionProbability
61
23
9
5
1
1
Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM
68.48%chance
26738505
OptionVotes
1502
624
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM
52.09%chance
835834
OptionVotes
1087
913
Will Ukraine capture the city of Donetsk before the Russia-Ukraine war ends
Mar 31, 1:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.57%chance
293653
OptionVotes
3217
634
Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
Jan 10, 10:43 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
141957
OptionProbability
96
95
82
82
68
68
14
12
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
Jun 17, 2:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.61%chance
191718
OptionVotes
1840
854
Which regions will Ukraine claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
Jan 10, 10:43 PMJul 1, 12:00 AM
51473
OptionProbability
73
59
59
50
50
50
50
16
2
Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?
Jun 17, 2:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.64%chance
10600
OptionVotes
326
101
Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?
Jun 17, 2:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.13%chance
18599
OptionVotes
232
111
OptionProbability
84
9
5
2
Will Ukraine accept a peace deal that cedes contested land in Donetsk and/or Luhansk?
Aug 1, 4:26 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM
65.62%chance
11203
OptionVotes
105
90
Will Russia control Druzhkivka by the end of September 2027?
Jun 3, 10:36 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM
47.61%chance
251
OptionVotes
1049
953