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Prediction markets for East
Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM
69.77%chance
25536410
OptionVotes
1545
604
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4.96%chance
275407
OptionVotes
4502
453
Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?
Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
78.41%chance
543493
OptionVotes
1097
958
OptionProbability
63
18
11
9
Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
90.33%chance
221023
OptionVotes
1792
852
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Nov 3, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
6.2%chance
14978
OptionVotes
1477
937
OptionProbability
84
14
1
1
Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?
Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
18.64%chance
14391
OptionVotes
980
945
OptionProbability
75
25
When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament?
Jan 15, 12:57 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
5231
OptionProbability
50
50
41
37
34
31
20
10
1
1
Bridge built crossing from Baja California east across the Gulf of California through 2050
Sep 21, 11:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
17.85%chance
588
OptionVotes
198
75
Will the highest percent of boys interacting with "AI girlfriends/waifus" come from an East Asian country by EOY 2025?
Dec 18, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
48.81%chance
220
OptionVotes
92
88
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