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Prediction markets for Eastern

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15%chance

112280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

30.01%chance

5817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1527

655

Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?

Feb 24, 9:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.71%chance

16585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

276

155

Will the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 21, 11:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.51%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

769

262

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

907

Will there be a Fatwa issued by a middle eastern country in 2025?

Jan 8, 5:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.08%chance

5297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

337

30

Will the Philadelphia 76ers play in an eastern conference finals by the end of the 2027 NBA season?

Nov 14, 3:29 AMNov 21, 7:59 AM

9.5%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

289

16

Will there be at least 100MW of operational geothermal capacity in the eastern united states by 2034?

Nov 1, 6:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

3150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Red List in 2050?

Dec 6, 11:11 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2110

OptionProbability

Critically Endangered

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)

Endangered

No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

Other

New Conservation Status

Not Evaluated

Extinct in the Wild

Least Concern

Near Threatened

Vulnerable

Extinct

Data Deficient

34

10

10

9

8

8

7

5

3

1

1

1

1

1

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Red List in 2100?

Dec 6, 11:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2103

OptionProbability

Critically Endangered

Extinct in the Wild

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)

Other

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)

Endangered

No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

Extinct

New Conservation Status

Not Evaluated

Vulnerable

Least Concern

Near Threatened

Data Deficient

33

9

9

9

8

7

6

5

5

4

2

1

1

1

What will the Eastern section of Melbourne's Suburban Rail Loop Cost? ($AUD Billions)

Dec 5, 10:32 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

30.66%chance

390

OptionProbability

YES

NO

324

273

Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.75%chance

25

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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