Ellis News

Will there be self driving taxis in London, UK by the end of 2026?

Aug 21, 7:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.45%chance

402504

OptionVotes

YES

1356

361

Who will be elected to the Green Party of England and Wales Leadership next?

May 22, 5:01 PMSep 2, 4:58 PM

72316

OptionProbability

Zack Polanski

Adrian Ramsay & Ellie Chowns

Other

Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?

Feb 22, 12:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

152211

OptionProbability

Giorgia Meloni

Elly Schlein

Other

Mario Draghi

Maurizio Landini

Matteo Salvini

Antonio Tajani

Stefano Bonaccini

Giuseppe Conte

Vincenzo De Luca

Matteo Renzi

Carlo Calenda

Roberto Vannacci

Stefano Bandecchi

Luca Zaia

Beppe Sala

There is between the Earth and Mars a china teapot revolving in an elliptical orbit

Apr 5, 7:45 PMApr 5, 8:59 PM

52153

OptionProbability

YES

147

104

Which MLB hitters will achieve a 30/30 season in 2025?

Feb 25, 4:44 PMOct 5, 4:59 AM

111422

OptionProbability

Pete Crow-Armstrong (25 HR, 27 SB through July 16, 2025)

Jose Ramirez (18 HR, 29 SB through July 16, 2025)

Shohei Ohtani (32 HR, 12 SB through July 16, 2025)

Bobby Witt Jr (14 HR, 25 SB through July 16, 2025)

Kyle Tucker (17 HR, 22 SB through July 16, 2025)

Elly De La Cruz (18 HR, 25 SB through July 16, 2025)

O’Neil Cruz (16 HR, 29 SB through July 16, 2025)

Fernando Tatis Jr (16 HR, 21 SB through July 16, 2025)

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?

Aug 22, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.5%chance

151112

OptionVotes

YES

1004

936

Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?

Nov 1, 5:47 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

26.72%chance

11753

OptionVotes

YES

1656

604

Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?

Sep 24, 8:38 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

6.3%chance

8503

OptionVotes

YES

386

Will Larry Ellison be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Mar 10, 12:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.56%chance

4196

OptionVotes

YES

306

Which of the following quantum computing technologies will first succeed in breaking 256-bit Elliptic Curve Encryption?

Nov 30, 1:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8138

OptionProbability

Neutral atoms

Silicon qubits

Superconducting qubits

Trapped ions

Discrete variable photonic

Continuous variable photonic

Will Larry Ellison die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 1:21 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

91.8%chance

3126

OptionVotes

YES

203

Will Elliott Smith’s teenage work (which has popped up on YouTube) see any official releases or remasters by 2026?

Nov 5, 6:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.99%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Ellis News

Prediction markets for Ellis

Prediction markets for Ellis

Prediction markets for Ellis

Will there be self driving taxis in London, UK by the end of 2026?

Who will be elected to the Green Party of England and Wales Leadership next?

Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?

There is between the Earth and Mars a china teapot revolving in an elliptical orbit

Which MLB hitters will achieve a 30/30 season in 2025?

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?

Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?

Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?

Will Larry Ellison be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Which of the following quantum computing technologies will first succeed in breaking 256-bit Elliptic Curve Encryption?

Will Larry Ellison die of natural causes?

Will Elliott Smith’s teenage work (which has popped up on YouTube) see any official releases or remasters by 2026?

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