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Top stories

Oil Prices Fall 0.73% Ahead of Trump-Putin Meeting as Russian Seaborne Exports Drop 25% and Cease-Fire Deadline Looms

Oil Prices Fall 0.73% Ahead of Trump-Putin Meeting as Russian Seaborne Exports Drop 25% and Cease-Fire Deadline Looms

Authors

9

7 days ago

Prediction markets for EU

Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?

Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.7%chance

646012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

513

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.75%chance

193623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2092

1101

Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?

May 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:21 PM

67.04%chance

303185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2582

1615

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.17%chance

101697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

439

Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 18, 2:57 PMJun 9, 9:59 PM

44.92%chance

71533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1584

1422

Will the EU require virtual currency purchases to display real-money equivalents within a year?

Sep 12, 2:35 AMSep 11, 9:59 PM

21.33%chance

8891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1329

87

Will any new countries join the EU before 2030?

Dec 7, 10:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.18%chance

21739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

889

Will the EU force Ukraine to make concessions?

Oct 5, 10:13 PMMar 2, 2:59 AM

42.26%chance

16451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

798

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

930

Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2025?

Dec 7, 2:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.05%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

962

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.34%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2091

1916

Will I be eligible for an EU Youth Mobility visa before I turn 30?

Feb 21, 10:51 AMFeb 25, 11:59 PM

47.46%chance

367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

950

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