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Top stories

Six-Planet Alignment on August 12 to Feature Venus-Jupiter Conjunction, Visible Galilean Moons, and Perseid Meteor Shower Peak

Six-Planet Alignment on August 12 to Feature Venus-Jupiter Conjunction, Visible Galilean Moons, and Perseid Meteor Shower Peak

Authors

9

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Europa

By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there is life on Jupiter's moon, Europa, that was not brought there by humans?

Dec 2, 8:53 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

6.15%chance

375048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2140

855

Is there life on Europa (moon of jupyter)

Oct 15, 11:45 PMOct 23, 6:59 AM

19.21%chance

714531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2051

488

Will NASA find signs of life on Europa, before 2035?

Oct 16, 4:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.95%chance

243766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2714

368

What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?

Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

233310

OptionProbability

Callisto

Ganymede

Europa

Mercury

Titan

Venus

Io

Other

53

19

17

6

3

1

1

1

Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?

Oct 2, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.2%chance

402284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

505

Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035

Jul 28, 9:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.83%chance

241272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

965

Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?

Oct 18, 1:06 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

77.72%chance

171141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1868

535

When will Europa Universalis 5 be released?

Mar 2, 11:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8924

OptionProbability

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Other

Q3 2025

Q3 2026

Q4 2026

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

25

21

16

13

8

7

7

1

1

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Will the Europa Clipper mission last at least 4 years after arriving at Jupiter?

Aug 31, 7:42 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

80.29%chance

9445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

141

Will Europa Universalis 5 have overall mixed reviews in Steam a month after release?

Apr 28, 8:03 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

29.78%chance

10249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

173

What will be the next Europa Universalis 4 tag that Tetraspace does a complete playthrough with?

May 10, 8:04 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26

OptionProbability

Other

Austria

England

89

9

2

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