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Ukraine Tests 3,000-Km ‘Flamingo’ Missile, Plans Production Surge
Authors
18
9 months ago
Prediction markets for European Russia
OptionVotes
1945
515
Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)?
Apr 22, 3:02 AMJun 30, 1:59 PM
352939
OptionProbability
88
76
69
48
37
35
26
20
20
12
10
Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Oct 3, 9:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
94.66%chance
162343
OptionVotes
3146
739
Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?
May 4, 12:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
18.74%chance
16944
OptionVotes
1016
838
Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?
May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10754
OptionProbability
70
13
5
5
3
2
1
OptionVotes
1149
455
OptionVotes
371
28
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
OptionVotes
1153
956
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011
Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.79%chance
4140
OptionVotes
240
42
How are G20 countries going to deal with demographic decline? [Suggest more options]
Apr 27, 10:35 AMJan 1, 9:58 AM
311
OptionProbability
60
54
52
50