Falkland Islands News
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Prediction markets for Falkland Islands
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
44
25
25
25
25
25
15
14
14
10
9
8
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1046
724
OptionVotes
492
141
Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Jan 24, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4.54%chance
18994
OptionVotes
1612
925
Will Argentina attempt to invade the Falkland Islands again before 2040?
Sep 3, 11:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
9.95%chance
14674
OptionVotes
1157
957
Will Argentina exercise territorial control over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
Sep 3, 11:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
8.79%chance
8640
OptionVotes
285
113
Will the UK and Argentina sign a sovereignty treaty over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
Sep 3, 12:28 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
31.83%chance
6124
OptionVotes
125
123
If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?
Sep 3, 12:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
28.89%chance
460
OptionVotes
140
58
If Argentina successfully invades the Falkland Islands before 2040, will the UK regain control of them within a year?
Sep 3, 12:15 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
54.75%chance
15
OptionVotes
75
65