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First Avenue News
Prediction markets for First Avenue
Prediction markets for First Avenue
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%
chance
34
12373
Option
Votes
YES
NO
19679
5082
Will more than 100 people in NYC get Ebola in 2025?
Feb 16, 8:51 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4.2%
chance
23
11886
Option
Votes
YES
NO
22785
9667
2. Scaling laws will be discovered and exploited in areas beyond text—in particular, in robotics and biology.
Dec 27, 8:12 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
61%
chance
13
1668
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1251
800
UFC fight at the White House by end of Trump's term?
Jul 6, 3:01 PM
Jan 19, 11:59 PM
56.18%
chance
24
854
Option
Votes
NO
YES
113
88
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