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Top stories

Governor Newsom Leads California Democrats' Mid-Decade Redistricting to Gain 5-7 Seats in Response to Texas GOP Move

Governor Newsom Leads California Democrats' Mid-Decade Redistricting to Gain 5-7 Seats in Response to Texas GOP Move

Authors

10

16 days ago

Prediction markets for Florida Republicans

Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?

Sep 18, 7:27 PMNov 26, 4:59 AM

8.84%chance

261249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1982

838

Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.34%chance

231246

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

500

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

74.82%chance

5724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1724

580

Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?

Aug 20, 7:45 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

86.04%chance

21552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

938

Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor?

Nov 10, 12:01 PMNov 11, 5:59 AM

8322

OptionProbability

Byron Donalds

Casey DeSantis

Wilton Simpson

Matt Gaetz

Ashley Moody

Jeanette Nuñez

Francis Suarez

Michael Waltz

Jimmy Patronis

Other

77

10

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Florida by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.3%chance

12275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

954

How many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?

Apr 2, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8255

OptionProbability

1

0

2

3

4

More than 4

32

26

18

12

8

4

Will any furry convention be cancelled or moved for political reasons by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 6:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

9182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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