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Founders Forum News
Prediction markets for Founders Forum
Prediction markets for Founders Forum
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
Jul 17, 4:23 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
53.85%
chance
60
4322
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1031
947
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 7:12 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
67.69%
chance
19
1382
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1299
799
Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 4:04 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
35.72%
chance
13
340
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1164
891
Will civilizational-preservation bunkers get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 30, 6:42 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
65.15%
chance
7
311
Option
Votes
YES
NO
228
200
Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 2:14 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
70.97%
chance
10
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
334
227
Any company from AIM's Founding to Give's first batch get into YC before EOY 2027?
Mar 15, 11:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
65.29%
chance
5
145
Option
Votes
NO
YES
196
97
>10% of companies (>12 months old) from AIM's Founding to Give get into YC before EOY 2030?
Mar 15, 11:48 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28.09%
chance
1
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
180
82
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