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Prediction markets for Fujian

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Dec 24, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

10333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will a bridge between Xiamen (PRC) and Kinmen (ROC) have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 9:13 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20.04%chance

9210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

60

Will direct passenger ferry service between mainland Taiwan and mainland China resume by end of 2026?”

Apr 5, 8:44 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13%chance

8205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

98

What will China's fourth aircraft carrier be named?

Nov 14, 9:22 AMDec 31, 9:10 AM

4130

OptionProbability

Jiangsu

Guangdong

Other

Zhejiang

Hebei

Shanghai

Xianggang (Hong Kong)

Xinjiang

Taiwan

29

28

10

6

6

6

6

6

3

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.57%chance

461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

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