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Prediction markets for Ga

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

Feb 20, 10:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.63%chance

399151007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9031

5995

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.21%chance

6784562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

59041

3675

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?

Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.63%chance

7125412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15846

5216

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.51%chance

257828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12918

7753

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.14%chance

244625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3813

422

Who will be the Democratic nominee for GA-01 in the 2026 midterms?

May 28, 1:14 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

32205

OptionProbability

Other

Patti Hewitt

98

2

Who will win GA-01 in the 2026 midterms?

May 28, 1:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21892

OptionProbability

James Kingston

Amanda Hollowell

Buddy Carter

Other

78

19

2

1

Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?

Jul 28, 3:27 PMNov 6, 4:25 PM

13971

OptionProbability

Dems flip TX or OH

Reps flip GA or MI

neither

both

60

20

15

5

Which party will win GA-01 in the 2026 midterms?

May 28, 1:13 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

5637

OptionProbability

Republican

Democratic

Other

87

13

1

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2027?

Jan 16, 5:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.46%chance

10319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

37

which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year

Sep 21, 4:46 AMApr 11, 10:59 PM

2225

OptionProbability

walton hs

fsa hs

chatahoochee hs

brookwood hs

ia hs

gsmst hs

northview hs

66

59

46

22

13

8

6

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Chicago, IL

New Orleans, LA

St. Louis, MO

Los Angeles, CA

Philadelphia, PA

Boston, MA

San Antonio, TX

Atlanta, GA

Denver, CO

Dallas, TX

Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)

Other

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

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