Galeão Air Base News

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

16649367

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.62%chance

29233869

OptionVotes

YES

3852

3400

Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028

Jan 14, 9:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

224510

OptionProbability

GDP > 4b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year)

Cabinet level current us official visits greenland

Google trends for Greenland, judged at each January, never exceeds the search volume of Jan 2025, USA up to and including 2028

Trump visits greenland

GDP > 5b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year)

20+ story building built

Greenland has a positive annual migration rate (-4.9/1000 in 2024)

Us has another military base at least 500 personnel

Thule Air Force Base expands to over 3000 personnel at least part of the year, up from 600 now

Greenland population is <80% ethnic greenlander (88% in 2025)

Greenland citizens receive money or other financial benefits from us gov

Greenland population falls below 40000

Chinese national population of Greenland exceeds 200

Greenland has 2 or more registered air flight carriers (1 in 2024)

Greenland has a military

Greenland significantly changes its flag

Military conflict over Greenland at least 5 casualties involving two+ conflicting powers

Current Greenland political borders change so that another country has a piece of it

Gains nuclear power station. Excluding military vessels. Portable is okay

USD is the used currency

40+ story building built

Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?

Apr 22, 8:31 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM

49%chance

123516

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

(Cash prizes if you’re right!) Should I do a cheap outdoor wedding?

Jun 10, 2:03 AMSep 14, 11:59 PM

58%chance

223202

OptionVotes

YES

1175

851

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Oct 4, 5:17 PMDec 31, 6:59 AM

24.31%chance

261444

OptionVotes

YES

1117

942

Crash of Learjet 55 - NTSB's determined cause(s) - Multichoice FFA

Feb 1, 1:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61412

OptionProbability

The NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (due to unknown causes) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (due to unknown causes) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that pilot error (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (explicitly due to a maintenance error) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (explicitly due to a maintenance error) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report does not explicitly state that any of the above causes contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (explicitly due to a design flaw or manufacturing defect) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (explicitly due to a design flaw or manufacturing defect) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that air traffic control error or any other form of ground-based air transport support staff error (excluding maintenance of the aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that an intentional pilot action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The NTSB's report explicitly states that an intentional passenger action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

Collision between American Eagle Flight 5342 and Black Hawk - NTSB's determined cause(s) - Multichoice FFA

Feb 1, 2:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14897