Gaza conflict News

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6681469

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

15.56%chance

5210389

OptionVotes

YES

2151

599

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.42%chance

368684

OptionVotes

YES

1417

446

End of war Israel-Palestine before 2026

Jul 29, 6:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.76%chance

406091

OptionVotes

YES

1181

847

Will there be a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal before September 2025?

Jul 28, 3:04 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

6.23%chance

404803

OptionVotes

YES

3881

258

What will the title of the Wikipedia page about the war between Israel and Hamas be at the end of November 2025?

Dec 26, 1:52 PMNov 30, 3:59 PM

172940

OptionProbability

Gaza war

Gaza war (2023-present)

Other

Israel-Hamas war

Israel-Gaza war

Gaza war (2023-2025)

Israel-Gaza war (2023-present)

Israel-Gaza war (2023-2025)

Israel-Hamas war (2023-present)

2023 Israel-Hamas war

2023 Israel-Gaza war

2023 Gaza war

2023-2025 Israel-Hamas war

2023-2025 Israel-Gaza war

2023-2025 Gaza war

2023-present Israel-Hamas war

2023-present Israel-Gaza war

2023-present Gaza war

Israel-Hamas war (2023-2025)

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

14.42%chance

311958

OptionVotes

YES

1455

838

In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict

Oct 7, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

361455

OptionProbability

"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)

A wall of text ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War

Other

"Inconclusive"

"______ treaty" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War

"Uprising suppressed" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Intifada

"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Apr 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

18.82%chance

19973

OptionVotes

YES

1749

725

Will China volunteer to send peacekeepers to secure post-conflict Gaza?

Jan 6, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

23628

OptionVotes

YES

1110

960

What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?

Oct 10, 6:50 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

22544

OptionProbability

Can speak English

Announced before the end of October

has made statements calling the conflict in Gaza a genocide

normally seen in glasses

60 or older

Writes primarily in a language other than English

Male

fled their home country

70 or older

went to a school in europe at any point in life

bald

photo with Obama exists on the internet at time of announcement

net worth over ten million USD at time of declaration

Singer/Songwriter

Award delayed

has a tattoo known to the public

Last name starts with P

Originally from Africa

Originally from France

Originally from Spain

speaks Chinese

Given to more than one person

Award not accepted by winner

Posthumous

Award not given out

Which issues will Donald Trump propose or imply can be solved with tariffs?

Jan 25, 11:29 PMFeb 2, 10:59 PM

8251

OptionProbability

Immigration

Unemployment

High taxes

Budget deficit

US leadership in AI

Livings costs

Crime

Inflation

Housing costs

Healthcare

Gaza conflict

Ukraine conflict

100

Gaza conflict News

Prediction markets for Gaza conflict

Prediction markets for Gaza conflict

Prediction markets for Gaza conflict

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

End of war Israel-Palestine before 2026

Will there be a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal before September 2025?

What will the title of the Wikipedia page about the war between Israel and Hamas be at the end of November 2025?

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Will China volunteer to send peacekeepers to secure post-conflict Gaza?

What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?

Which issues will Donald Trump propose or imply can be solved with tariffs?

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