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Prediction markets for Goa

Will Israel achieve its goals in Iran?

Jun 17, 12:32 AMJan 1, 1:22 AM

17.01%chance

7114545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2209

453

Will MIRI raise its 2025 funding goal of $6M?

Dec 2, 10:55 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25%chance

659341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

1317

Will the 2025 Gävle goat be destroyed?

Dec 24, 4:59 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

42.82%chance

338859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1156

865

Will LeBron James be considered the GOAT in 2030?

Dec 25, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.28%chance

364331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1331

496

Will Lionel Messi be considered the GOAT in 2030?

Dec 25, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.51%chance

302706

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1299

841

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Sep 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

201289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

825

Will Chinese social credit system be thought to be based on AI with own goals by end of 2035?

May 21, 2:42 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

23.06%chance

91022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1846

568

Will Kylian Mbappe score more goals than Karim Benzema for Real Madrid?

Aug 14, 10:47 PMAug 22, 9:59 PM

29.12%chance

6706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

641

Will Donald Trump be noticeably more successful at accomplishing his goals in his second term than he was in his first?

Nov 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.01%chance

11475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1305

766

Will there be two or more super intelligences with different goals/values?

Aug 15, 10:48 AMJan 1, 11:46 AM

50.3%chance

8257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

1024

How many goals will Viktor Gyökeres score in official club competitions in the 2025/2026 season?

Jul 26, 5:21 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

0-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41+

20

20

20

20

20

Will the Goa Tse statue of Jose Luis Ricon be SO magnificent it becomes a work of art?

Aug 16, 3:43 AM

20

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