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Top stories

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Prediction Markets

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Authors

10

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Gotham

When will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) become a Grandmaster?

Apr 24, 3:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

496590

OptionProbability

Later/Never

2028

2029

2027

2030

2026

2025

2024

80

6

6

4

4

3

1

0

Will GothamChess become a grandmaster by 2080?

Jun 14, 8:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.39%chance

383445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

831

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Jan 24, 10:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.21%chance

433114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

825

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2026?

Jan 15, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

151284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

933

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2027?

Jan 15, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.94%chance

171035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1846

780

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2025?

Jan 15, 2:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.91%chance

11459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

536

95

Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040?

Nov 29, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.79%chance

7109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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