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Top stories

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Prediction Markets

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Authors

10

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Gotham

When will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) become a Grandmaster?

Apr 24, 3:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

496590

OptionProbability

Later/Never

2028

2029

2027

2030

2026

2025

2024

80

6

6

4

4

3

1

0

For which team will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for after the 2026 trade deadline?

Jan 28, 5:35 PMFeb 6, 3:00 PM

244012

OptionProbability

Milwaukee Bucks (no trade)

Chicago Bulls

Other

Miami Heat

Golden State Warriors

New York Knicks

Detroit Pistons

Atlanta Hawks

San Antonio Spurs

Houston Rockets

Los Angeles Lakers

Boston Celtics

Brooklyn Nets

Los Angeles Clippers

Phoenix Suns

Toronto Raptors

55

19

13

7

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will GothamChess become a grandmaster by 2080?

Jun 14, 8:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.39%chance

383445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

831

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Jan 24, 10:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.21%chance

433114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

825

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2027?

Jan 15, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.97%chance

181285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2096

743

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2026?

Jan 15, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

151284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

933

Gay Batman blockbuster by 2040?

Nov 29, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.79%chance

7109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

2026 NWSL Champion?

Jan 28, 10:54 AMNov 23, 4:59 AM

137

OptionProbability

Gotham FC

Orlando Pride

Washington Spirit

Kansas City Current

Angel Coty FC

Bay FC

Boston Legacy FC

Chicago Stars FC

Denver Summit FC

Houston Dash FC

North Carolina Courage

Portland Thorns FC

Racing Louisville FC

San Diego Wave FC

Seattle Reign

Utah Royals FC

14

11

11

10

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

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