Gulf states News

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

Feb 1, 8:55 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

49%chance

261562

OptionVotes

YES

102

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7357

OptionProbability

4 +

0–1

Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps)

Feb 14, 9:04 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

86.2%chance

10334

OptionVotes

YES

250

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

23.65%chance

6293

OptionVotes

YES

180

USA will bomb Iran before the end of February

Feb 2, 12:18 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

19.77%chance

9148

OptionVotes

YES

201

Will the next president of USA revert to Gulf of Mexico

Feb 11, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.8%chance

9137

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will the Gulf Railway be completed by 2030?

Aug 15, 5:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

7120

OptionVotes

YES

203

149

Roadtrip: Gulf leg favorite state

Jan 10, 3:40 AMApr 2, 2:29 AM

475

OptionProbability

Louisiana (TBD)

Alabama (resolves NO if I don't have a non-Auburn stop)

Mississippi (TBD)

Arkansas (TBD)

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Jan 13, 6:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

230

OptionProbability

Somaliland recognised by less than 30 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 29 and less than 150 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 149 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

*China recognises Somaliland*

Gulf states News

Prediction markets for Gulf states

Prediction markets for Gulf states

Prediction markets for Gulf states

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Gulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps)

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

USA will bomb Iran before the end of February

Will the next president of USA revert to Gulf of Mexico

Will the Gulf Railway be completed by 2030?

Roadtrip: Gulf leg favorite state

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

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