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Prediction markets for Hainan
Which of these proposed crossings (bridge, tunnel or a combination) will be open by the end of 2050?
Jan 1, 11:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
92065
OptionProbability
73
69
69
69
69
63
63
59
59
51
50
39
31
26
25
20
20
20
20
14
12
3
Will the Hainan Gibbon (Nomascus hainanus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 17, 10:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
76.22%chance
4958
OptionVotes
508
134
Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2027
Sep 19, 3:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
16.99%chance
11468
OptionVotes
202
147
Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030
Sep 19, 3:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.28%chance
8363
OptionVotes
128
94
Bridge built connecting Hainan to mainland China through 2040
Aug 28, 2:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
42.04%chance
7107
OptionVotes
151
146
Will a crossing of the Qiongzhou Strait, between Mainland China and Hainan, have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 9:00 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
57%chance
659
OptionVotes
99
82