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Prediction markets for Hamas

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6678919

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2025

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

39

21

21

18

1

0

0

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30973505

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

5000+

1000-1500

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

83

9

5

1

1

0

0

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

91.08%chance

14938342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3892

666

Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?

Oct 29, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

20138166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1445

639

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

24.45%chance

519734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

749

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.74%chance

328692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

839

Will Benjamin Netanyahu stop being prime minister of Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 28, 10:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.5%chance

444223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1524

637

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.3%chance

353725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1505

786

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Jun 21, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.42%chance

192789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1581

633

If Israel “eradicates” Hamas, will they allow > 600k Palestnians back into north of Wadi Gaza before end of 2025?

Nov 17, 4:04 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

71.35%chance

301336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

687

Will Hamas “disarm and relinquish power” in Gaza?

Jul 31, 11:00 AMJul 31, 11:00 AM

24.29%chance

16819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1765

566

Netanyahu ceases to be prime minister before a permanent Israel-Hamas ceasefire is reached?

Mar 19, 9:08 PMSep 15, 12:00 AM

34.91%chance

11334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

939

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