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Top stories

Torrential Rains Swamp Chicago Region, Exposing Strain on Aging Sewers

Natural Disasters

Torrential Rains Swamp Chicago Region, Exposing Strain on Aging Sewers

Authors

4

4 months ago

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Natural Disasters

Flooding Shuts Several Units at BP’s 440,000-Barrel Whiting Refinery

Authors

10

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Hammond

Will many open source advocates agree frontier models have crossed capability thresholds too dangerous to open source?

May 8, 10:15 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

10.16%chance

5621736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

913

Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043?

Aug 28, 10:52 PMDec 5, 8:59 PM

67.54%chance

19445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

950

At least one member of the Top Gear/Grand Tour trio (Clarkson, Hammond, May) passes away in 2025

Jan 18, 11:34 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

8.13%chance

9352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

30

Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?

Nov 28, 1:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

68.08%chance

6116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

117

Will a new episode of The Grand Tour be released in 2025?

Jan 24, 5:11 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

23.43%chance

472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

37

Which of the current hosts of the Great British Baking Show will leave first?

Nov 28, 7:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

320

OptionProbability

Paul Hollywood

Noel Fielding

Prue Leith

Alison Hammond

34

27

24

16

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