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Prediction markets for Hardee
Prediction markets for Hardee
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026? (harder question version)
Jan 19, 4:49 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
42.86%
chance
42
8456
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1222
715
Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?
Oct 15, 11:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
56.43%
chance
68
5086
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1095
882
Is solving fusion harder than finding a room temperature superconductor?
Feb 6, 3:59 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
25.46%
chance
31
825
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1038
812
Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?
May 25, 10:59 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
50.91%
chance
12
550
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3605
3380
Contraception becomes much harder to access in China through 2030
Aug 20, 8:56 PM
Jan 3, 7:59 AM
52.56%
chance
13
325
Option
Votes
NO
YES
253
205
Divorce becomes harder in China through 2030
Aug 20, 8:54 PM
Jan 3, 7:59 AM
44.91%
chance
5
77
Option
Votes
NO
YES
162
129
Will maintaining a robust blockchain be significantly harder by EOY 2026 than it was in December 2024?
Dec 10, 12:12 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
43.06%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
87
Is it harder to qualify for MOP or get drafted to an NBA team
Aug 31, 12:59 AM
Apr 24, 6:59 AM
76
0
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