Harvard News

8 months ago

Will Princeton international students lose legal status before 2027 (as is seemingly happening at Harvard)?

May 23, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.03%chance

2534764

OptionVotes

YES

39516

2534

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:18 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

46.49%chance

756150

OptionVotes

YES

1413

944

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is More than 63% White by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:14 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

8.29%chance

291784

OptionVotes

YES

2092

798

Will a majority of Harvard undergrads train an LLM within 3 years as per Altman?

May 3, 10:33 AMJun 5, 3:59 AM

3.56%chance

261513

OptionVotes

YES

1094

929

How long will the Harvard graduate student strike last?

Apr 4, 10:21 PMDec 31, 11:06 PM

41185

OptionProbability

15-30 days

31+ days

8-14 days

0-3 days

4-7 days

Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

Jun 29, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.24%chance

121116

OptionVotes

YES

1398

950

Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033

Oct 7, 6:41 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.2%chance

14876

OptionVotes

YES

1243

913

Will the SCOTUS overturn Allison Burrough's ruling regarding Harvard's enrollment of foreign students?

May 23, 6:12 PMDec 31, 7:10 PM

15.46%chance

14489

OptionVotes

YES

234

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Hispanic by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:23 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

64.09%chance

15466

OptionVotes

YES

1060

947

What % Asian will the Harvard class of 2028 be?

Jun 30, 12:47 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

38.55%chance

12360

OptionVotes

YES

1023

953

Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)

Dec 10, 9:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8280

OptionProbability

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026

Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family

He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029

He joins George Mason University by mid 2026

He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029

He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036

He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2024

He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2025

He retires from academic life by mid 2024

Harvard withdraws or softens the results of the investigations which found against him by mid 2025

Harvard apologizes for the claims against him and admits they were without merit by mid 2025

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Robert Shekoyan? (BS Harvard, Aevitas House)

Aug 28, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Prediction markets for Harvard

Prediction markets for Harvard

Prediction markets for Harvard

Will Princeton international students lose legal status before 2027 (as is seemingly happening at Harvard)?

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is More than 63% White by 2028?

Will a majority of Harvard undergrads train an LLM within 3 years as per Altman?

How long will the Harvard graduate student strike last?

Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033

Will the SCOTUS overturn Allison Burrough's ruling regarding Harvard's enrollment of foreign students?

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Hispanic by 2028?

What % Asian will the Harvard class of 2028 be?

Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Robert Shekoyan? (BS Harvard, Aevitas House)

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