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Prediction markets for High Court

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

75.57%chance

8416626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1759

569

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

23.44%chance

88041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15910

7208

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

52.64%chance

393991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

983

Will Harvey Weinstein be free from prison before the end of 2025? [500m subsidy]

Apr 26, 12:15 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

5.63%chance

243687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

710

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.31%chance

382660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

635

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91516

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

180+ days

365+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

92

76

74

74

53

41

4

Post-mortem revelations: will damning new evidence be revealed in the OJ Simpson case?

Apr 11, 3:36 PMApr 11, 6:59 AM

13.18%chance

151229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2135

681

Will evidence of Teori Zavascki's assassination appear by 2050?

Apr 9, 12:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.87%chance

5189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

337

100

Trump vs the media: Which lawsuits will succeed?

Dec 27, 1:11 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

5122

OptionProbability

CBS case, over 60 Minutes Harris interview

Trump defamation suit against NYT (filed September 2025)

Des Moines Register case, over Ann Selzer poll

Simon & Schuster case, over Bob Woodward book

100

50

11

0

Satellite image of San Mateo Aragon High School shows any sign of a pickleball court through 2025

Aug 22, 11:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Satellite image of Piscataway High School in NJ shows any sign of a pickleball court through 2025

Aug 22, 11:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

71

69

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