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Top stories

Natural Disasters

Wildfires Partially Controlled in Syria’s Latakia and Hama; New Fires Near Marmarita, Firefighters Mobilize, Atmeh Hospital Support Urged

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Homs

Kristi Noem gone as Secretary of Homeland security before EOY 2026?

Dec 8, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49%chance

16535537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

627

Will SF homelessness be solved by 2040?

Jun 16, 5:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

5611121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

890

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

34.95%chance

226964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13641

7331

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

44553

OptionProbability

Missouri

Kansas

Other

56

43

1

Will homosexuality be legal in Dubai in 2035 (partially or fully)?

Jun 24, 5:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

48.64%chance

483403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

973

Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?

May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.23%chance

181680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1697

589

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

Sep 29, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

41.56%chance

26876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

853

During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?

Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.77%chance

12848

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

746

Will Homosexual couples have the same rights as Heterosexual couples worldwide by 2050?

May 5, 4:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.39%chance

13556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

953

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

Will Congress fund the Department of Homeland Security by February 13?

Feb 4, 2:30 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM

41.74%chance

4384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

846

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

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