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Prediction markets for Hong Kong Chinese
Prediction markets for Hong Kong Chinese
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 7:21 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
10.49%
chance
38
4801
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5818
803
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.59%
chance
12
744
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1031
884
Will China acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?
Feb 18, 12:44 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
22%
chance
11
715
Option
Votes
YES
NO
138
137
CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030
Oct 15, 12:03 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
10.33%
chance
10
601
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1249
925
Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:02 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
66.24%
chance
9
276
Option
Votes
NO
YES
240
188
Will a non-Chinese national land on the Moon as part of a Chinese mission before 2035?
Apr 15, 4:35 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
27.96%
chance
9
267
Option
Votes
YES
NO
247
166
Will the next Pope go to China?
Apr 23, 1:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
87.43%
chance
13
262
Option
Votes
NO
YES
264
38
Will the US force ASML to halt exports to China before 2029?
Jun 28, 1:21 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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