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Prediction markets for Hong Kong Chinese
Prediction markets for Hong Kong Chinese
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 7:21 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
18.47%
chance
34
3056
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4073
1087
Will China acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?
Feb 18, 12:44 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
22%
chance
11
715
Option
Votes
YES
NO
138
137
CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030
Oct 15, 12:03 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
10.33%
chance
10
601
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1249
925
Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
Mar 21, 4:48 AM
Mar 20, 11:59 PM
46.64%
chance
17
431
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
93
Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:02 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
66.24%
chance
9
276
Option
Votes
NO
YES
240
188
Will the next Pope go to China?
Apr 23, 1:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
87.43%
chance
13
262
Option
Votes
NO
YES
264
38
Will a non-Chinese national land on the Moon as part of a Chinese mission before 2035?
Apr 15, 4:35 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
25%
chance
9
258
Option
Votes
YES
NO
272
157
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?
Dec 17, 1:09 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
82.35%
chance
7
196
Option
Votes
NO
YES
212
65
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the KMT abandon the 1992 Consensus?
Jan 14, 4:12 AM
Jan 31, 3:59 PM
42.14%
chance
2
11
Option
Votes
YES
NO
79
63
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