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Horn of Africa News
Top stories
Somalia
War
Politics
Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab Fighters
Authors
3
6 months ago
Prediction markets for Horn of Africa
Prediction markets for Horn of Africa
How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?
Dec 30, 1:08 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
7
357
Option
Probability
4 +
3
0–1
2
35
26
21
19
Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
Jul 4, 8:28 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
21.22%
chance
13
326
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1122
944
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Jan 21, 6:19 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
9.06%
chance
2
253
Option
Votes
YES
NO
317
32
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