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Top stories

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

Authors

20

4 months ago

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

Authors

11

4 months ago

Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Authors

15

3 months ago

Prediction markets for House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

110484229

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

59

18

11

7

1

1

1

1

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.84%chance

316241647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1792

1079

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

132196511

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

80

20

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.85%chance

17541523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7241

1026

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

Jan 22, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.06%chance

2313941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14715

7254

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

7011132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2504

796

Will Trump accept El Salvador’s offer to house U.S. criminals?

Feb 4, 4:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

12.8%chance

169433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4980

990

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.47%chance

365119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

914

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?

Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

4.2%chance

8567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

477

21

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.6%chance

12426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.01%chance

2172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2772

2450

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