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Top stories

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

Authors

20

1 year ago

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

Authors

11

1 year ago

Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Authors

15

1 year ago

Prediction markets for House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1741497065

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

63

36

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

6.15%chance

600533382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

41061

17836

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

184300929

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

93

7

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

63%chance

321236674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

767

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

54.14%chance

226114989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.72%chance

17742411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7301

1020

How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?

Jul 10, 2:45 AMNov 3, 6:59 AM

7017275

OptionProbability

194+ (2016 result)

213+ (2022 result)

215+ (2024 result)

222+ (2020 result)

218+ (majority)

226+ seats

230+ seats

235+ (2018 result)

246+

257+ (2008 result)

267+ (1990 result)

99

98

97

94

94

89

81

59

20

3

2

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

Feb 11, 3:22 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM

60.13%chance

4714864

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1228

814

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.29%chance

3672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3272

2101

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

33.8%chance

1400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5151

4465

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