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Prediction markets for Isfahan

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71.21%chance

7016559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1573

636

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3796

264

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

121555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

61

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?

Jun 22, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5548

OptionProbability

>3 months

>6 months

>1 year

>2 years

>5 years

77

56

45

34

19

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