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Prediction markets for Islands
Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25%chance
5815847
OptionVotes
1743
581
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
34.39%chance
4411832
OptionVotes
2540
1630
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
46%chance
292531
OptionVotes
1181
704
Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?
Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
251344
OptionVotes
1043
905
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33%chance
291120
OptionVotes
1017
948
Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?
Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
30.12%chance
11954
OptionVotes
1523
657
OptionVotes
1424
879
Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
Sep 20, 1:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
66.76%chance
10678
OptionVotes
1417
706
OptionVotes
1510
662
OptionVotes
1406
711
Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time?
Feb 1, 6:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM
37.9%chance
4280
OptionVotes
1280
781
South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?
Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM
28.14%chance
6249
OptionVotes
1219
888