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Top stories

Heatwave Raises Temperatures 5-10 Degrees Above Normal With Wind Advisory for Cape Cod and Inland Monsoon Thunderstorms Next Week

Natural Disasters

Heatwave Raises Temperatures 5-10 Degrees Above Normal With Wind Advisory for Cape Cod and Inland Monsoon Thunderstorms Next Week

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Islands

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.45%chance

5615753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1807

554

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.72%chance

4311572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2345

1740

Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?

Jan 14, 10:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.58%chance

267285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

507

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.66%chance

354516

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

915

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.04%chance

261911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

850

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

251344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

905

Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?

Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

30.12%chance

11954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.57%chance

26867

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

904

Does the island of stability exist?

Oct 21, 12:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.37%chance

29819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1424

879

Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?

Sep 20, 1:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.44%chance

9578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1317

759

Will the South Island kōkako be rediscovered by 2040?

Jan 3, 8:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

30.49%chance

2510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1510

662

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

32.59%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

955

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