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Top stories

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

1 year ago

Italy Shuts Pornographic Site After Meloni Condemns Non-Consensual Images

Italy Shuts Pornographic Site After Meloni Condemns Non-Consensual Images

Authors

9

1 year ago

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

US Domestic Policy

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

Authors

86

1 year ago

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

Authors

10

1 year ago

Ultra-Trail du Mont-Blanc Starts, François D’Haene Chases New Record

Authors

6

1 year ago

Italy’s Tajani, Meloni Warn Ukraine War Won’t End in 2025

Authors

5

1 year ago

Georgia Upsets Reigning Champion Spain 83–69 in EuroBasket Opener

Authors

10

1 year ago

FBI and Allies Link China-Backed Salt Typhoon to Telecom Hacks in 80 Countries, Exploiting Citrix CVE-2025-7775 Flaw

Authors

24

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Italy

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.89%chance

375903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

742

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

56.25%chance

334974

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

786

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Feb 22, 1:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

62.16%chance

454489

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1469

292

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

9.69%chance

363661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3053

328

Who will be Italy's next Prime Minister?

Feb 22, 12:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

333286

OptionProbability

Giorgia Meloni

Other

Elly Schlein

Giuseppe Conte

Roberto Vannacci

Silvia Salis

Roberto Gualtieri

Massimiliano Romeo

Mario Draghi

Maurizio Landini

Michele Boldrin

Antonio Decaro

Roberto Fico

Paolo Gentiloni

Angelo Bonelli

Nicola Fratoianni

Matteo Salvini

Antonio Tajani

Matteo Renzi

Carlo Calenda

Stefano Bandecchi

Luca Zaia

Stefano Bonaccini

Beppe Sala

Vincenzo De Luca

44

10

9

9

8

6

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

30.62%chance

212184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

722

Will Italy be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Dec 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

89.99%chance

241613

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

956

Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?

Dec 16, 8:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

91.43%chance

15609

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

938

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.89%chance

3406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10051

9986

Italy Stock (Permanent)

Dec 17, 3:51 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

643

OptionProbability

NO

YES

147

117

Conditional on a Sicily-mainland bridge being built, will unemployment in Sicily decrease wrt to Italy?

Oct 26, 2:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64%chance

431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

93

Will Italy bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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