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Top stories

Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona

Natural Disasters

Severe Thunderstorm, Flood Warnings, and State Route 8 Closure Impact Yavapai and Coconino Counties, Arizona

Authors

3

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Jerome

Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?

Nov 7, 9:00 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

3.74%chance

5718636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5074

197

Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?

Jul 3, 1:14 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

13.14%chance

8413657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3813

161

Jerome Powell convicted on charges from the DOJ?

Jan 12, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.25%chance

185462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4746

211

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

25.1%chance

452694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?

Apr 10, 3:10 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

1%chance

231697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

17

Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Aug 19, 10:00 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

1%chance

241619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

10

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

36%chance

141088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

750

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.82%chance

10155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

61

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.79%chance

8122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

189

77

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.08%chance

982

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

94

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