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Prediction markets for K2
Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
Apr 16, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.41%chance
4639822
OptionVotes
29334
3409
OptionVotes
9646
667
Will planet k2-18b be confirmed to contain a major sign of Alien Life: DMS (dimethyl sulphide)
Sep 13, 12:30 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
8.69%chance
5010158
OptionVotes
2496
727
Will further research confirm the presence of DMS or DMDS on planet K2-18b by the end of 2025?
Apr 17, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.3%chance
207781
OptionVotes
4229
236
Will K2-18b be generally agreed to harbor alien life by 2027?
Sep 15, 1:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.27%chance
314069
OptionVotes
1479
935
OptionVotes
3033
330
OptionVotes
1233
917
OptionProbability
25
22
20
15
10
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Other than ClaudePlaysPokemon, which AIs will have their own Twitch streams (>24 hrs) playing video games by EOY 2025?
Feb 27, 6:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
101419
OptionProbability
100
100
66
40
34
24
20
10
9
2
1
Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?
Apr 17, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.77%chance
151051
OptionVotes
371
27
OptionVotes
1705
586
Will India control either mountain K2 or Nanga Parbat before Jan 1 2027
May 10, 3:08 PMJan 1, 4:01 PM
5.52%chance
6385
OptionVotes
414
24