Key Bridge News

When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?

Mar 26, 8:37 AMJun 28, 9:59 PM

5817210

OptionProbability

Summer Solstice 2031

Summer Solstice 2030

Summer Solstice 2029

Summer Solstice 2028

Summer Solstice 2027

Spring Equinox 2027

Summer Solstice 2026

Summer Solstice 2024

Halloween 2024

Christmas 2024

Summer Solstice 2025

Christmas 2025

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

Mar 26, 7:52 PMMar 27, 6:59 AM

85.8%chance

949754

OptionVotes

YES

2254

105

What will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)

Mar 26, 11:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

341715

OptionProbability

Ship dropped anchor before colliding with the bridge

An emergency generator was activated on the ship before the collision

An overload trip mechanism was activated on the ship

Ship ran propeller in reverse before colliding with bridge

Ship switched from one primary fuel source to another between leaving and colliding with bridge

Ship had bad fuel

At least one member of the road crew working on the bridge received a warning about the ship via phone/radio before the collision

The loss of power was caused by a cooling water blockage

Ship sounded its horn at least once between the first power loss and the collision

Between the ship undocking and the collision, a person on the ship sustained a physical injury serious enough to prevent them from doing their job

Ship operators were on drugs

A person on the ship at the time of the collision will be convicted of assault against another person on the ship.

A person was trespassing on the ship at the time of the collision

A part of the ship other than the anchor fell off between leaving and the collision

Ship rudder was not disabled during power loss event.

Container Ship was victim of cyber attack

100

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM

76.77%chance

381544

OptionVotes

YES

2360

1812

What will be the final cost of the Francis Scott Key bridge replacement (in 2024 $millions)

Mar 30, 3:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

4442

OptionProbability

At least 8000 and less than 16000

At least 4000 and less than 8000

At least 2000 and less than 4000

At least 16000

At least 1000 and less than 2000

At least 500 and less than 1000

Less than 500

Will any California bridges receive additional physical protection due to the Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse?

Mar 28, 5:05 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

7.75%chance

6362

OptionVotes

YES

485

Will the SF-Oakland Bay Bridge receive additional physical protection due to the FSK Bridge collapse?

Mar 28, 5:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.19%chance

683

OptionVotes

YES

229

177

Will someone be sentenced to prison in connection with the Baltimore bridge collapse?

Apr 15, 10:41 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.04%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

240

111

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When will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?

Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?

What will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)

Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?

What will be the final cost of the Francis Scott Key bridge replacement (in 2024 $millions)

Will any California bridges receive additional physical protection due to the Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse?

Will the SF-Oakland Bay Bridge receive additional physical protection due to the FSK Bridge collapse?

Will someone be sentenced to prison in connection with the Baltimore bridge collapse?

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