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Prediction markets for Kings Cross

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 3:12 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

78.5%chance

402568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

970

Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 3:12 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

77.35%chance

321545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1326

855

Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 3:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

40.99%chance

311171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

888

Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 3:12 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

62.6%chance

271115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

934

Conditional on at least 10 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 3:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

33.41%chance

17871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

895

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Sep 2, 7:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.89%chance

28761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

923

Will any current or former US president go to space before 2030?

Mar 17, 7:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

9.18%chance

20657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

916

Conditional on at least 15 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Dec 11, 3:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.76%chance

12527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

973

Will the US take any negative action towards me over my Canadian citizenship before the end of 2026?

Apr 21, 3:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.71%chance

9205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

33

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

Jul 2, 8:34 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

47.53%chance

463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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