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Prediction markets for LA

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

1432030

OptionProbability

2027

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Before EOY

69

12

10

7

2

Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States before the end of the 2025/26 season?

Aug 23, 8:26 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

10.92%chance

129455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2857

350

Will an adversarial attack for the human brain, a la "basilisk" from BLIT, be discovered by 2030?

Jul 29, 5:11 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.51%chance

494997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

786

Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?

Dec 31, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.43%chance

504028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

802

Will the 2028 Summer Olympics be cancelled or moved out of LA?

Jun 9, 9:59 PMJul 20, 12:00 AM

9%chance

133978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3180

314

"Shangri-La diet" theory becomes widely accepted by scientists before 2030.

Nov 30, 9:36 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

8.78%chance

193924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

945

Will Trump threaten to move the 2028 Olympics out of LA?

Jun 9, 6:18 PMJul 14, 10:59 PM

43.42%chance

161261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

876

Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?

Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.31%chance

161095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

987

891

Will the USA win the most Gold medals by the end of the 2028 LA Summer Olympics?

Aug 12, 4:42 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM

84.93%chance

11980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

943

Will LA Metro choose a monorail option for the Sepulveda Transit Corridor?

Sep 6, 4:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

29.01%chance

8697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

639

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.77%chance

5491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

976

L'Italia andrà in default entro la fine del 2035?

Nov 19, 5:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.25%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

55

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