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Prediction markets for LA

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2057376

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Before EOY

86

7

4

2

1

Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?

Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

4017145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16703

3098

Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States before the end of the 2025/26 season?

Aug 23, 8:26 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

7.05%chance

1213917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3634

276

Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?

Dec 31, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.66%chance

556402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2481

493

Will an adversarial attack for the human brain, a la "basilisk" from BLIT, be discovered by 2030?

Jul 29, 5:11 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.51%chance

494997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

786

Will the 2028 Summer Olympics be cancelled or moved out of LA?

Jun 9, 9:59 PMJul 20, 12:00 AM

6.08%chance

134728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3930

254

"Shangri-La diet" theory becomes widely accepted by scientists before 2030.

Nov 30, 9:36 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

8.78%chance

193924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

945

Will Trump threaten to move the 2028 Olympics out of LA?

Jun 9, 6:18 PMJul 14, 10:59 PM

46.28%chance

181545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

928

Will the USA win the most Gold medals by the end of the 2028 LA Summer Olympics?

Aug 12, 4:42 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM

86%chance

131082

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1217

929

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.98%chance

8721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

890

Will Primoz Roglic start any professional cycling races after Tour de Romandie 2026 and before La Vuelta 2026?

Mar 16, 6:12 AMAug 14, 11:59 PM

56.43%chance

9289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

879

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Jan 9, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

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