OptionProbability
He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released
He leaves Argentina during his first term
He travels to Chile during his first term
He travels to Brazil during his first term
He is photographed with Elon Musk
A photo of him with Trump is released
A photo of Milei with Biden is released
His sister Karina holds an official public governmental position
Will he publicly shake hands with Lula?
Will Elon Musk post Milei's picture, real or meme form, as long as he's clearly identifiable?
Heritage.org economic freedom score will be at or above the world average [Argentina 51.0, world 59.3 in 2023]
Argentina will be at 63rd or better place in the good country index [63rd in 2023]
Argentina will have improved its "corruption perceptions index" ranking [96th]; their score in 2023 was 38, higher score is better
His salary as president is legislatively raised or lowered
Argentina will be at or better than its 2023 US news "best country" rating of 39
Heritage.org economic freedom score will be 60 or above [51 in 2023]
According to amnesty international, the poverty rate will go down [36.5% in 2022]
Annualized inflation rate relative to 2023 will be <30%
There are serious news reports that he is discussing working with Elon Musk on a major project such as a new city, or a Tesla factory, or a rocket base, etc.
He wins reelection to a 2nd term
Will Pope Francis or a new Pope visit?
The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16k USD [13700 in 2023]
LLM Q2: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of term, when asked from the POV of various international media outlets, what average rating will they give him?
The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16000 USD [13700 in 2023]
Argentina will have improved its "Sustainable Development Report" of 51st place
LLM Q1: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of his term rate his performance at >50%?
He travels to Bolivia
A sitting US President visits Argentina and is photographed with him
Victoria Villarruel leaves government and does not hold the office of vice president before end of term
Milei is revealed to not really be a Vegan (or just stops being Vegan)
He sells land to a non-argentinian individual or corporation with some promises of a level of sovereignty above what is normal
He leads Argentina to significantly begin cooperation with SpaceX
Argentina will finish in the top 4 in the 2026 world cup
Argentina's population increases by more than 1%/year annualized til end of first term [historically, there has been approx 0.6% annual increase in the last 4 years]
He goes incommunicado for at least a week
Will the organ trade be legalized? (significantly legalized compared to the rest of S.America suffices)
Elon says the phrase or something similar, as a slogan or statement, or wears something with "VVLC", "Vive la libertad carajo" in english or spanish
He marries during his first term
He significantly changes his hairstyle during his first term
US Military gains any kind of base for at least 10 active duty military personnel within Argentina
He is impeached or removed in a process which is retroactively considered legal for at least a week
There is an assassination attempt resulting in shots fired
He successfully mediates the border dispute with Chile and completely solves it
Argentina's population ever decreases year over year during the first term
He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years
Will he ever be TIME person of the year?
He goes out of office for physical health-related reasons [independent health-related only; assassination, disappearance, quitting, or psychological reasons don't count]
Argentina will finish in the top 2 in the 2026 world cup
He successfully dollarizes Argentina [i.e. most people use dollars most of the time]
The official borders of Argentina change during his term of office
Argentina accepts some kind of Cryptocurrency for payment of taxes or gov't fees
The Argentine peso will have been officially deprecated and not in legal use
He is jailed, emprisoned, or held in state control during what was his original planned term of office
Argentina will win the 2026 world cup
He changes the law such that he retains power longer than the usual 4 years without a new election
He travels to Russia during his first term
He is in a serious car or motorcycle crash
Will he abolish the central bank of Argentina?
He has a child during his first term
He is excommunicated by the catholic church
Argentina will declare war
He gets banned from Twitter [even momentarily]
He publicly resigns [whether real or coerced]
He is in a plane (or helicopter) crash
He passes away during his first term before completion
There is a military action in the Falklands/Malvinas which results in the death of at least 2 soldiers from any side
Argentina effectively controls the Falklands/Malvinas or part of them, for at least a week
He officially converts to Judaism
Will Argentina join BRICS?
Will at any time, the US have a travel advisory against Argentina at level 3 or 4 or higher? (level 1 now)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
91
88
86
84
84
83
72
71
63
57
56
55
50
48
48
45
45
41
40
38
36
34
30
30
29
28
27
26
26
26
25
23
23
21
20
19
17
15
13
11
11
8
7
7
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
Abelardo de la Espriella
Victoria Dávila
Juan Manuel Galán
Sergio Fajardo
Claudia López
Gustavo Bolívar
Miguel Uribe Turbay
María Fernanda Cabal
María José Pizarro
Germán Vargas Lleras
Iván Cepeda
Roy Barreras
Paloma Valencia
Other
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Will Byron Buxton hit 20+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 10+ home runs?
Will Bryce Harper hit 10+ home runs?
Will Gunnar Henderson hit 10+ home runs?
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 10+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 10+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 10+ home runs?
Will Brandon Lowe hit 10+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 10+ home runs?
Will Jordan Walker hit 20+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 10+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 20+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 30+ home runs?
Will any player hit 40+ home runs?
Will Juan Soto hit 20+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 20+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 20+ home runs?
Will Brent Rooker hit 10+ home runs?
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 10+ home runs?
Will Jake Bauers hit 10+ home runs?
Will any player hit 50+ home runs?
Will Ryan O'Hearn hit 10+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 20+ home runs?
Will Jacob Young hit 10+ home runs?
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 30+ home runs?
Will Jackson Chourio hit 10+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 30+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 10+ home runs?
Will Bryce Harper hit 20+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 40+ home runs?
Will Francisco Alvarez hit 10+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 20+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 30+ home runs?
Will Joey Wiemer hit 10+ home runs?
Will Brady House hit 10+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 30+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 30+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 30+ home runs?
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 10+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 30+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 30+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 30+ home runs?
Will Juan Soto hit 30+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 20+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 40+ home runs?
Will Sal Frelick hit 10+ home runs?
Will Ben Rice hit 40+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 30+ home runs?
Will Gunnar Henderson hit 30+ home runs?
Will Bryce Harper hit 30+ home runs?
Will Mike Trout hit 40+ home runs?
Will Matt Olson hit 30+ home runs?
Will Brent Rooker hit 40+ home runs?
Will Colson Montgomery hit 40+ home runs?
Will Christian Walker hit 40+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 40+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 40+ home runs?
Will Julio Rodriguez hit 30+ home runs?
Will any player hit 60+ home runs?
Will Jake Baldwin hit 30+ home runs?
Will Mickey Moniak hit 40+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 40+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 30+ home runs?
Will Brent Rooker hit 30+ home runs?
Will Matt Olson hit 40+ home runs?
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 40+ home runs?
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40+ home runs?
Will Shea Langeliers hit 40+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 40+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 50+ home runs?
Will James Wood hit 40+ home runs?
Will Elly De La Cruz hit 40+ home runs?
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 30+ home runs?
Will Hunter Goodman hit 40+ home runs?
Will Jake Bauers hit 30+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 50+ home runs?
Will Jackson Chourio hit 30+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 50+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 40+ home runs?
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit 40+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 50+ home runs?
Will Francisco Alvarez hit 40+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 50+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 40+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 40+ home runs?
Will any player hit 70+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 50+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 40+ home runs?
Will Brady House hit 40+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 50+ home runs?
Will Junior Caminero hit 60+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 60+ home runs?
Will Brady House hit 30+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 50+ home runs?
Will Pete Alonso hit 60+ home runs?
Will Byron Buxton hit 60+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 70+ home runs?
Will Ryan O'Hearn hit 60+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 60+ home runs?
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 60+ home runs?
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 40+ home runs?
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 60+ home runs?
Will Nick Kurtz hit 60+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 70+ home runs?
Will Cal Raleigh hit 60+ home runs?
Will Aaron Judge hit 60+ home runs?
Will Eugenio Suárez hit 70+ home runs?
Will any player hit 80+ home runs?
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 80+ home runs?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
98
97
97
96
96
93
91
90
90
90
90
88
88
86
86
86
85
81
80
80
77
77
76
75
69
69
68
65
65
65
63
60
59
59
58
57
55
55
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
45
45
45
43
41
41
41
41
40
39
39
38
37
37
37
35
35
31
29
29
26
25
25
24
24
20
19
18
17
13
12
12
12
11
10
9
9
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
16703
3098
OptionProbability
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henly lead J.J. Spaun?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Keegan Bradley lead Colin Morikawa?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Maverick McNealy?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Corey Conners lead Kristoffer Reitan?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ryan Riley lead Chris Gerard?
01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Robert MacIntyre lead Jacob Bridgeman?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Davis Riley lead Taylor Pendrith?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Lee Hodges lead Harry Hall?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Patrick Reed?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Scottie Scheffler?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Patrick Reed?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Si Woo Kim?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Jason Day lead Andrew Putnam?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Tom Hoge lead Davis Riley?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Joel Dahmen lead Max McGreevy?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Chris Gotterup?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Jake Knapp lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Jake Knapp lead Pierceson Coody?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Maverick McNealy?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Maverick McNealy?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Michael Thorbjornsen lead Maverick McNealy?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Ludvig Åberg lead Xander Schauffele?
06-07, After Round 4 of The Memorial will Scottie Scheffler lead Cameron Young?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Scottie Scheffler lead Rory McIlroy?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Scottie Scheffler lead Xander Schauffele?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Xander Schauffele lead Rory McIlroy?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Scottie Scheffler lead Tommy Fleetwood?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Tommy Fleetwood lead Rory McIlroy?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Wyndham Clark lead Max McGreevy?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
07-05, After Round 4 of The John Deere will Scottie Scheffler lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
91-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Scottie Scheffler lead John Rahm?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
03-01, After Round 4 of the Cognizant Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
07-05, After Round 4 of The John Deere will Matt Fitzpatrick lead Scottie Scheffler?
07-05, After Round 4 of The John Deere will Cameron Young lead Collin Morikawa?
07-19, After Round 4 of The Open Championship will Cameron Young lead Collin Morikawa?
07-19, After Round 4 of The Open Championship will Scottie Scheffler lead Collin Morikawa?
07-19, After Round 4 of The Open Championship will Cameron Young lead Scottie Scheffler?
08-09, After Round 4 of The Wyndham Championship will Cameron Young lead Scottie Scheffler?
08-16, After Round 4 of The FedEx St. Jude Championship will Cameron Young lead Scottie Scheffler?
07-05, After Round 4 of The John Deere will Brooks Koepka lead Justin Rose?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Scottie Scheffler?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
07-05, After Round 4 of The John Deere will Ben James lead Sam Burns?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
02-22, After Round 4 of the Genesis Invitational in Pacific Pallisades, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Robert McIntyre lead Ben Griffin?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Aaron Rai lead Chris Gotterup?
03-08, After Round 4 of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Chris Gotterup?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Alex Smalley lead John Parry?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Chris Gotterup?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Kevin Roy lead Chris Gotterup?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Patrick Reed lead Justin Rose?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Matt McCarty lead Si Woo Kim?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Ryan Gerard lead Chris Gotterup?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Matt McCarty lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Sam Stevens lead Si Woo Kim?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?
02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Hideki Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
03-15, After Round 4 of The Players Championship, will Ludvig Åberg lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Corey Conners lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Justin Thomas lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Corey Conners lead Justin Thoomas?
05-31, After Round 4 of The Charles Schwab will Rickie Fowler lead J.J. Spaun?
05-31, After Round 4 of The Charles Schwab will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Ben James lead Sam Burns?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will John Rahm lead Rory McIlroy?
06-21, After Round 4 of The US Open will Matt Fitzpatrick lead Xander Schauffele?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
90
85
69
66
65
60
59
59
59
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
44
41
26
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
In 2028 and in LA.
Not in 2028 but in LA
In 2028 but not in LA
Neither in 2028 nor in LA
90
3
3
3
OptionProbability
NO SOLO NO-HITTER IN 2026
Michael Wacha (Kansas City Royals)
Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers)
Other
Cristopher Sanchez (Philadelphia Phillies)
Emerson Hanconck (Seattle Mariners)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LA Dodgers)
Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees)
Hunter Greene (Cincinnati Reds)
Cole Ragans (Kansas City Royals)
Max Fried (New York Yankees)
Logan Webb (San Francisco Giants)
Reid Detmers (Los Angeles Angels)
Tarik Skubal (Detroit Tigers)
Paul Skenes (Pittsburgh Pirates)
Garrett Crochet (Boston Red Sox)
Corbin Burnes (Arizona Diamondbacks)
Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia Phillies)
Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers)
George Kirby (Seattle Mariners)
Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners)
Trey Yesavage (Toronto Blue Jays)
Nolan McLean (New York Mets)
Bubba Chandler (Pittsburgh Pirates)
Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees)
Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians)
Hunter Brown (Houston Astros)
Roki Sasaki (Los Angeles Dodgers)
Carlos Rodón (New York Yankees)
Framber Valdez (Houston Astros)
Luis Castillo (Philadelphia Phillies)
Logan Gilbert (Seattle Mariners)
15
8
8
8
7
6
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Portland, OR
Memphis
Detroit, MI
Minneapolis
Chicago, IL
Baltimore, MD
San Francisco, CA
Seattle, WA
Philadelphia, PA
New Orleans, LA
Oakland, CA
Miami, FL
100
100
50
50
49
48
45
45
45
40
37
26
OptionProbability
Omar García Harfuch
Samuel García
Marcelo Ebrard
Ricardo Salinas Pliego
Ricardo Anaya
Gerardo Fernández Noroña
Clara Brugada
Lilly Téllez
Alejandro "Alito" Moreno
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
Manolo Jiménez
Jorge Álvarez Máynez
Andrés Manuel López Beltrán
Alessandra Rojo de la Vega
Enrique de la Madrid
Mauricio Kuri
Other
Ildefonso Guajardo
Jorge Romero Herrera
María Eugenia Campos Galván
Damián Zepeda
13
8
7
7
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
OptionProbability
Tatiana Clouthier
Waldo Fernandez Gonzalez
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
Fermando Margain Sada
Adrian de la Garza Santos
Clara Luz Flores
Other
Cesar Garza Villarreal
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
Andrés Mijes Llovera
Héctor García García
Ildefonso Guajardo Villarreal
15
13
9
9
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
OptionProbability
Chicago, IL
New Orleans, LA
St. Louis, MO
Los Angeles, CA
Philadelphia, PA
Boston, MA
San Antonio, TX
Atlanta, GA
Denver, CO
Dallas, TX
Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)
Other
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
OptionProbability
San Francisco, CA
Charleston, SC
Roanoke Island, NC
St. Augustine, FL
Houston, TX
Milwaukee, WI
Montreal, QC
New Orleans, LA
New York, NY
Other
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
