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Prediction markets for LAX

Who is Stronger Mihawk or Shanks

Jun 10, 12:43 AMJun 17, 3:59 AM

397514

OptionProbability

Hawkeye

Akagami

64

36

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

132289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1956

511

When will the LAX People Mover Open

Mar 27, 3:20 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

122196

OptionProbability

Before January 2027

Before October 2026

Before October 2025

Before January 2026

Before April 2026

Before July 2026

57

5

0

0

0

0

AI honesty #3: by 2027 will we have interpretability tools for detecting when an AI is being deceptive?

Oct 13, 3:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.25%chance

211799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1421

428

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.53%chance

13302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

94

When will phase 3 of the LA Metro D Line extension open?

Apr 13, 10:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4128

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2029

Before Oct 2028

Before July 2028

Before April 2028

Before Jan 2028

83

80

76

66

33

Will Actblue be shut down before 2029?

Sep 19, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

16.6%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

96

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