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Prediction markets for LAX

Who is Stronger Mihawk or Shanks

Jun 10, 12:43 AMJun 17, 3:59 AM

397514

OptionProbability

Hawkeye

Akagami

64

36

When will the LAX People Mover Open

Mar 27, 3:20 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

91905

OptionProbability

Before January 2027

Before October 2026

Before July 2026

Before April 2026

Before October 2025

Before January 2026

91

52

4

2

0

0

AI honesty #3: by 2027 will we have interpretability tools for detecting when an AI is being deceptive?

Oct 13, 3:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

56.39%chance

201749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1371

465

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.6%chance

71088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

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