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Prediction markets for Library of Congress

In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book

Jun 15, 4:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

525990

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

2030-2031

2024-2025

2025-2026

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

36

19

12

7

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

Ethan Klein wins against Hasan Orbiters?

Jun 27, 12:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.72%chance

9263

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

50

Will 'The Day the Clown Cried' be screened by the Library of Congress before the end of 2025?

Aug 15, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.2%chance

5147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

41

Will Everything Everywhere All At Once be preserved by the Library of Congress before Oppenheimer?

Mar 30, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.96%chance

892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

332

184

Will Everything Everywhere All At Once be preserved by the Library of Congress before EOY 2035?

Dec 30, 8:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.26%chance

862

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

124

Mike Judge artworks preserved by Library of Congress as culturally or aesthetically significant before 2050

Dec 20, 11:57 PMDec 27, 2:59 PM

71.46%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

69

Will Oppenheimer be preserved by the Library of Congress before EOY 2035?

Dec 30, 8:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

65

Will 'The Day the Clown Cried' be screened by the Library of Congress before the end of 2028?

Aug 15, 4:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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