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Prediction markets for Limerick

Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 16, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.71%chance

293104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2085

480

Will Aughinish announce production curtailment or major layoffs by end-2026?

Aug 8, 1:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.54%chance

22501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3501

286

Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak

May 19, 9:46 AMApr 29, 10:59 PM

111462

OptionProbability

Any EU country

South Sudan

Tanzania

Central African Republic

Rwanda

Zambia

Angola

Republic of the Congo

USA

India

Burundi

China

100

54

45

42

39

33

25

21

21

21

18

12

Which team will win the 2027 Ryder Cup?

Sep 28, 1:25 AMSep 19, 8:00 PM

7723

OptionProbability

Europe

United States

57

43

When will the US strategic petroleum reserve start increasing again

Jun 14, 12:55 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

7635

OptionProbability

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before August 2026

Before September 2026

Before October 2026

41

17

0

0

0

Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030

Dec 14, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68%chance

12413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

69

Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in November 2026?

Sep 21, 12:05 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

26.36%chance

16322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Did OpenAI "independently discover" php2shell by scanning chats of security researchers?

Oct 21, 4:06 PMFeb 24, 11:59 PM

8.86%chance

10267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

321

31

Russia announces new wave of mobilization before June 2027

Oct 20, 3:02 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

11219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Trump's approval rating - lowest value in 2026

Oct 8, 11:38 AMOct 8, 11:59 PM

588

OptionProbability

Above 35.0%

Above 35.5%

Above 36.0%

Above 36.5%

Above 37.0%

64

41

31

13

0

What will be the impacts of php2shell in next 6 months

Oct 21, 3:41 PMApr 21, 3:36 PM

663

OptionProbability

A US federal government server is compromised

A Fortune 500 company is compromised

A hospital with at least 100 beds has to cancel scheduled surgeries

A EU agency/body server is compromised

A company with at least USD 1 million in revenue goes bankrupt

72

59

54

50

41

US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before December 1st

Oct 26, 12:24 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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