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Top stories

Ralph Lauren Unveils Team USA 2025 Ryder Cup Uniforms

Ralph Lauren Unveils Team USA 2025 Ryder Cup Uniforms

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US Domestic Policy

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US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

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Prediction markets for Long Island

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28167065

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)?

Nov 4, 11:07 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

352376

OptionProbability

Other

God's Knight

Loki

St. Figarland

Shanks

Man marked by flames

Marine

Big Mom

Enel

Blackbeard

48

26

25

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will North Korea attack South Korea's outlying islands, causing fatalities, before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.74%chance

161411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

111

Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.9%chance

231314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

931

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.88%chance

141298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2094

771

Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?

Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

30.12%chance

11954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19791

OptionProbability

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime stays

90

7

1

1

Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030?

Apr 3, 9:35 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

5.64%chance

14481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1298

949

Bridge built connecting PRC (mainland) and Taiwan (Main Island) through 2040

Sep 4, 8:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.82%chance

4330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

460

82

The next time the number of time zones on the Earth changes, will the number increase or decrease?

Mar 20, 5:20 AMMar 27, 6:59 AM

11222

OptionProbability

Number of time zones will decrease next.

Number of time zones will increase next.

74

26

Given a PRC invasion which controls Taiwan for at least a month, will there be real resistance fighters, through 2034

Sep 11, 4:05 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

54.23%chance

10175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

147

Will Tamriel Rebuilt have the entire mainland of Morrowind fully playable by the end of 2030?

Nov 26, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

100

80

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