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Top stories

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Ralph Lauren Unveils Team USA 2025 Ryder Cup Uniforms

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Prediction markets for Long Island

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24148516

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

70.62%chance

341422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

950

Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.26%chance

221214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1396

937

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.53%chance

141198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

784

Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?

Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

30.12%chance

11954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.03%chance

26903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

892

Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030?

Apr 3, 9:35 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

5.64%chance

14481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1298

949

Will the Fehmarn Belt Tunnel open in 2029 or before?

Dec 5, 10:14 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8%chance

8457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

301

37

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11386

OptionProbability

Yes - Contiguous United States

Yes - Pacific Territories

Yes - Hawaii and Alaska

No

84

74

55

20

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Australia become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.51%chance

6185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

52

Given a PRC invasion which controls Taiwan for at least a month, will there be real resistance fighters, through 2034

Sep 11, 4:05 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

54.23%chance

10175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

147

When will Queenslink be operational?

Nov 6, 5:00 AMJan 2, 4:46 AM

00

OptionProbability

2028-2031

2032-2035

2036-2039

2039-2042

Later than 2042 or never

20

20

20

20

20

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