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Prediction markets for Los

Will Brightline West begin service of a high-speed rail route between Los Angeles and Las Vegas by 2028?

Jul 3, 2:17 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

1.94%chance

66934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7101

141

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

Jan 25, 12:15 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

8.69%chance

262637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2524

771

Will the U.S. win the gold medal in Men's Basketball at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 11, 1:46 AMOct 2, 4:59 AM

71.04%chance

202005

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

638

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

71441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1883

531

What will be the status of the Los Angeles Metro D (Purple) Line Extension by the 2028 Summer Olympics?

Dec 31, 4:24 AMJul 15, 6:59 AM

41319

OptionProbability

Section 3 open

Section 2 open

Section 1 open

No sections fully open

49

34

12

5

Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?

Jun 18, 12:35 AMJun 17, 7:00 PM

86.79%chance

191099

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

935

Will it be possible to take a train from Los Angeles to San Francisco in under 5 hours in 2040?

Sep 23, 4:53 AMJan 19, 5:54 AM

56.35%chance

21860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

966

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

57.16%chance

10847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

140

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Yerevan exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 3:51 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.71%chance

269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

556

543

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 15

Apr 13, 3:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

340

OptionProbability

Tim McOsker (incumbent)

Other

66

34

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11

Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Traci Park (incumbent)

Other

Faizah Malik

39

39

22

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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