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Prediction markets for Los Angeles County

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 36th State Senate district

Jul 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1410

OptionProbability

Tony Strickland (incumbent)

Chris Duncan

Other

56

43

1

Will Los Angeles freeze over by 2030?

Nov 6, 5:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.29%chance

12274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

91

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3185

OptionProbability

Bob Archuleta (incumbent)

Other

89

11

Will the County of Los Angeles Department of Public Health's website support HTTPS before the end of 2028?

Jun 13, 11:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

57.23%chance

5143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Who will be elected as the first Los Angeles County Executive

Jul 24, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:15 PM

2126

OptionProbability

Rick Caruso

Lindsey Horvath

Other

No LA County Executive elected in 2028 for any reason

28

28

28

16

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

Susan Rubio (incumbent)

Other

83

17

Will d4vd get the death penalty?

Apr 24, 1:18 PMApr 24, 1:18 PM

25.6%chance

7122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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