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Prediction markets for Los Angeles County

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

Who will be elected as the first Los Angeles County Executive

Jul 24, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:15 PM

2492

OptionProbability

Rick Caruso

Lindsey Horvath

Other

Rex Richardson

Kenneth Mejia

No LA County Executive elected in 2028 for any reason

22

22

22

16

14

5

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 36th State Senate district

Jul 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1410

OptionProbability

Tony Strickland (incumbent)

Chris Duncan

Other

56

43

1

Will Los Angeles freeze over by 2030?

Nov 6, 5:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.29%chance

12274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

91

Will d4vd get the death penalty?

Apr 24, 1:18 PMApr 24, 1:18 PM

17%chance

10243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3185

OptionProbability

Bob Archuleta (incumbent)

Other

89

11

Will the County of Los Angeles Department of Public Health's website support HTTPS before the end of 2028?

Jun 13, 11:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

57.23%chance

5143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

Susan Rubio (incumbent)

Other

83

17

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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